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The Rise of Dennis Smith Jr: Analyzing His Basketball Career and Future Prospects

2025-11-08 09:00

I remember watching Dennis Smith Jr. during his rookie season with the Dallas Mavericks back in 2017, and thinking this kid had that special something you can't teach. The explosive athleticism, the fearlessness attacking the rim - he reminded me of a young Russell Westbrook with his vertical leap that measured an incredible 48 inches at the combine. Those first 30 games where he averaged 15 points and 5 assists made it seem like Dallas had found their franchise point guard for the next decade. But basketball careers rarely follow straight trajectories, and Smith's journey has been particularly fascinating to track.

The reality is that Dennis Smith Jr.'s career has been a rollercoaster of highs and lows that few could have predicted. After that promising rookie year where he started all 69 games he played, things began to unravel when Luka Dončić arrived in Dallas. I've always felt the fit alongside Dončić was awkward from the beginning - both players needed the ball in their hands to be most effective, and the Mavericks clearly saw Dončić as their primary creator. The trade to New York in 2019 that sent Kristaps Porziņģis to Dallas marked a turning point, though not necessarily for the better. His numbers dipped to 5.5 points per game in that first Knicks season, and watching him struggle with his shooting - he shot just 29% from three-point range that year - was tough to witness as someone who believed in his potential.

What's impressed me most about Smith's journey is how he's reinvented himself as a defensive specialist after those challenging years. When he signed with Portland in 2021, I noticed something different in his approach. He wasn't the high-usage offensive engine anymore, but he was harassing opposing guards full-court, using that incredible athleticism to generate steals and disrupt offenses. Last season with Brooklyn, he averaged 1.2 steals per game despite playing just 20 minutes per contest - that's an impressive defensive impact. His transformation reminds me of players like Patrick Beverley who carved out long careers by embracing defensive roles after starting as score-first guards.

The international basketball landscape is becoming increasingly relevant for players like Smith, which brings me to Byron Scott's recent involvement in the Philippines. The former NBA champion and Coach of the Year is heading back to coach FilNation Select-USA in the 2025 Smart NBTC National Finals, and I can't help but wonder if this signals growing opportunities for American players overseas. Scott's presence there - alongside sponsors like SM Supermalls and Playtime Cares - shows how seriously international basketball organizations are taking player development. If Smith ever considers playing internationally, the Philippines would be an excellent destination given their passionate fan base and competitive leagues.

Looking at Smith's current situation, I'm genuinely optimistic about his future prospects. He's only 26 years old, which means he's entering what should be his physical prime while already having accumulated valuable experience. His defensive metrics last season were actually quite impressive - opponents shot 3.5 percentage points worse when he was the primary defender, and his deflections per 36 minutes ranked in the 85th percentile among guards. These aren't just empty stats; they demonstrate real impact that winning teams need from role players. The key for Smith will be continuing to develop his three-point shooting - if he can get that percentage up to around 35%, he becomes a much more valuable two-way player.

I've always believed that players who face adversity early in their careers often develop stronger mental toughness, and Smith seems to be proving that theory correct. Watching him bounce between teams and roles could have broken many players, but he's adapted his game and found ways to contribute. His assist-to-turnover ratio has improved every season since 2020, reaching 3.1 last year, which shows he's making better decisions with the ball even in limited minutes. That kind of gradual improvement might not make headlines, but it's exactly what keeps players in the league.

The basketball world is changing rapidly, and players like Dennis Smith Jr. represent an interesting case study in career evolution. With the rise of international opportunities like the one Byron Scott is participating in through the NBTC National Finals, there are more pathways than ever for professional basketball players. Smith's combination of experience, defensive prowess, and still-present athleticism makes him someone who could contribute to playoff teams or potentially excel in international leagues if he chooses that route. Personally, I'm rooting for him to find the right situation where his unique skills can shine - whether that's as a defensive specialist off the bench for an NBA contender or as a featured player overseas. His journey reminds us that basketball careers aren't always about linear progression, but about adaptation and finding where you can make an impact.

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